WASINGTON DC 29MAR2026
The IRGC Is Winning on Its Own Terms Day 30 confirms what Trump can’t say out loud.
The E-3G AWACS that coordinates the entire air campaign is a smoking ruin on the tarmac at Prince Sultan.
The energy-strike pause just extended to April 6.
Tehran publicly denies the talks that justify it.
The Pentagon leaked ground operation planning the same week.
A 3,500-strong Marine Expeditionary Unit arrived in theater.
Iran’s parliament speaker called it invasion under diplomatic cover.
The Houthis opened a second front — threatening both chokepoints simultaneously.
AND Brent crude: $112.57. Mid-April is now the price-cliff inflection point.
Today’s SITREP maps the asymmetry that is deciding this war — not on the battlefield, but on the calendar.
Trump needs an exit that looks like victory.
The IRGC needs a war that stays unresolvable.
On Day 30, one of those strategies is working.
The clock is April 6. The question is what happens when it runs out.
If you’re an analyst, investor, policymaker, or veteran watching this theater — this is the brief that doesn’t manage your expectations down.
FULL SITREP HERE
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